Boys - Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
1999 - 2000 - 2001



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Natalie Ewing 12 Northridge 18:56 #13  
2  Megan Hardenbrook 11 Garrett 19:23 #34  
3  Hillary Barlow 12 Warsaw 19:42 #55  
4  Jennifer Furge 11 Angola 19:52 #80  
5  Megan Hawkins 11 DeKalb 19:57 #91  
6  Rebekah Liechty East Noble 20:04 #108  
7  Jennifer Finch 11 Warsaw 20:05 #114  
RankNameSectionalRatingState Rank
1  DeKalb East Noble 350 #11  
2  Northridge Elkhart Central 370 #13  

Other unranked teams:
West Noble East Noble 505
Warsaw Elkhart Central 506
Goshen Elkhart Central 538
East Noble East Noble 669



Regional Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
DeKalb 100.0% 1.3 50 19 100 73.3 21.7 3.9 1.0 0.2
Northridge 100.0% 2.0 64 21 106 25.3 55.2 15.0 3.9 0.6 0.1
Warsaw 100.0% 3.3 82 51 130 0.4 15.4 52.2 22.9 7.6 1.5
West Noble 100.0% 4.2 95 46 139 0.8 5.7 16.6 37.3 28.1 11.6
Goshen 100.0% 4.7 100 52 146 0.2 2.1 11.1 27.2 37.9 21.7
East Noble 100.0% 5.5 113 76 152 0.1 1.2 7.8 25.7 65.2


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Natalie Ewing Northridge 18:56 100.0% 1.0 88.7 10.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0
Megan Hardenbrook Garrett 19:23 100.0% 1.6 9.7 64.1 16.7 5.3 2.2 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Hillary Barlow Warsaw 19:42 100.0% 3.0 1.2 14.4 35.8 19.4 10.8 6.2 4.0 2.8 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jennifer Furge Angola 19:52 100.0% 4.6 0.3 5.3 17.3 18.4 13.7 10.4 8.2 5.9 4.5 3.8 3.3 2.3 1.6 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2
Megan Hawkins DeKalb 19:57 100.0% 5.6 0.1 2.7 10.5 14.6 14.6 12.6 10.2 7.9 6.2 5.1 3.9 3.2 2.2 1.9 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.2
Rebekah Liechty East Noble 20:04 100.0% 7.5 0.0 1.3 6.0 9.4 10.3 10.2 8.8 8.2 7.6 6.7 5.5 5.1 4.5 3.4 2.9 2.7 2.2 1.7 1.3 0.9
Jennifer Finch Warsaw 20:05 100.0% 7.9 0.0 0.5 2.4 8.8 10.8 10.3 9.3 8.7 7.9 7.1 6.4 5.1 4.5 4.0 3.2 2.9 2.3 1.6 1.3 1.0